Indonesia’s economic prospects in the next five years is expected to recover in line with the global economic recovery in the past few days.

World Bank Senior Economist Subham Chaudhuri there are two scenarios describing Indonesia’s economic prospects for the future, the economy will increase High (rising) or labile (floating). “For the next five years there are two scenarios, could be rising or floating,” said Subham, on the sidelines of discussions Current Economic Development, in Jakarta, Monday (14 / 9).

He explained that rising scenario assumes a global economic recovery is greater than currently anticipated. This scenario estimates the economic growth of Indonesia in the next 5 years will increase to reach 7-8 percent, export prices and domestic credit is expected to accelerate, and the rupiah appreciated.

The floating scenario, assuming the recovery was slightly longer than the current estimates. In this scenario, domestic credit is assumed to remain weak and inconsistent in the year 2009, export prices fell, the rupiah depreciated, as well as economic growth is expected to remain in the range of 5-6 percent.

In addition, according to Subham, prospects for the Indonesian economy is also determined by the future government policies, particularly in infrastructure and a supportive investment climate. “If the government like this, it will remain floating high not really,” he said.

Further World Bank estimates that Indonesia’s economic growth in 2009 will reach 4.3 percent. Year growth in 2010 is estimated to increase to 5.4 percent and by 2011 will reach 6 percent to 6.5 percent. The main drivers of growth in Indonesia in 2009 is estimated to come from domestic demand, and the global economic recovery.

The next year, growth will have accelerated again supported by strong investment, and ease the credit acquisition and increased investor confidence than this year. “Next year, private consumption remains strong and continues to increase consumed of credit,” he said.

20,011 years, estimated the world economy began to approach levels more normal growth that encourages economic growth in Indonesia to achieve an annual 6 percent to 6.5 percent.